Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while KäPa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60