Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
EIF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while JäPS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 46.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Ykkösliiga, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40