Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haka · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
EIF 2-2 Haka
Original prediction
Haka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.77 | 24.1% | 19.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.1% | 22.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.8% | 58.2% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Haka
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Haka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EIFDLLWW
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
HakaLLWWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EIFHaka
39.4Attack62.1
50.0Defence63.6
40.9Form60.6
44.9Power62.2
0.88xG1.80