Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
EIF · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
EIF are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FF Jaro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and EIF hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (71.0 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.1% in the Ykkönen, while EIF holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
EIF
Probability
71.1%
Model confidence
71.1%
EIF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00