Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ull/Kisa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Eidsvold are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ull/Kisa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ull/Kisa hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 64.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ull/Kisa holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ull/Kisa
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Ull/Kisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20