Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eidsvold · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Eidsvold are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Follo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Eidsvold hold a 44.5-point power-rating edge (76.8 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Eidsvold holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eidsvold
Probability
93.1%
Model confidence
15.8%
Eidsvold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60