Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eichstätt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eichstätt 2-3 Vilzing
Original prediction
Eichstätt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.5% | 38.5% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.7% | 28.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.9% | 32.6% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Eichstätt
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Eichstätt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EichstättLWDWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
VilzingDLDDD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
EichstättVilzing
41.7Attack54.5
58.3Defence45.5
58.3Form48.5
54.1Power52.0
1.49xG1.24