Eibar Wvs
Madrid CFF W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eibar W 2-2 Madrid CFF W
Original prediction
Eibar W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.6% | 39.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.7% | 27.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.7% | 32.5% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Eibar W
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Eibar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20