Eibar Wvs
FC Levante Badalona W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eibar W 1-4 FC Levante Badalona W
Original prediction
Eibar W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.22 | 27.9% | 38.6% | 10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.2% | 28.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 42.9% | 33.2% | -9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Eibar W
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Eibar W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60