Eibar Wvs
Athletic Club W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Athletic Club W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eibar W 1-0 Athletic Club W
Original prediction
Athletic Club W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.99 | 15.0% | 26.1% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 26.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.1% | 47.5% | -12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Athletic Club W
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Athletic Club W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80