Eibarvs
Granada CF
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eibar 3-0 Granada CF
Original prediction
Eibar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 46.3% | 45.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.6% | 26.7% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 25.1% | 27.4% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Eibar
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Eibar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EibarWWLDW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Granada CFWWDWL
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
EibarGranada CF
54.5Attack51.6
62.1Defence57.1
54.5Form51.6
57.5Power54.4
1.51xG1.06