Eibar IIvs
Gimnástica Torrelavega
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eibar II 1-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega
Original prediction
Eibar II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.3% | 38.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.1% | 29.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.5% | 32.1% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Eibar II
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Eibar II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60