Eibar IIvs
Compostela
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eibar II 1-0 Compostela
Original prediction
Eibar II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.2% | 39.9% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.1% | 28.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.8% | 31.2% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Eibar II
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Eibar II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60