Eibar IIvs
Bergantiños
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/24/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eibar II 3-2 Bergantiños
Original prediction
Eibar II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.5% | 36.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.6% | 29.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 28.9% | 33.6% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Eibar II
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Eibar II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00