Ehime FCvs
Thespakusatsu Gunma
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 4-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ehime FC 3-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.8% | 58.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.1% | 22.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.0% | 19.6% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.4–010%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60