Ehime FCvs
Renofa Yamaguchi
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ehime FC 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.2% | 41.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.4% | 26.0% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.4% | 32.9% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60