Ehime FCvs
Kitakyushu
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ehime FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ehime FC 4-2 Kitakyushu
Original prediction
Ehime FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.1% | 53.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.4% | 25.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 18.5% | 21.3% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Ehime FC
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Ehime FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ehime FCWWLDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KitakyushuWDDDL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ehime FCKitakyushu
91.7Attack33.3
75.0Defence66.7
83.3Form33.3
81.8Power48.3
1.83xG0.82