Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nigeria W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egypt W 2-6 Nigeria W
Original prediction
Nigeria W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Nigeria W
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
10.8%
Nigeria W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Egypt WLL
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.50/4.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Nigeria WWLWWW
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Egypt WNigeria W
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence46.7
0.0Form40.0
15.1Power50.4
1.28xG2.00