Egyptvs
South Africa
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egypt · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egypt 0-1 South Africa
Original prediction
Egypt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.9% | 44.4% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.5% | 28.7% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.99 | 18.6% | 26.8% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Egypt
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Egypt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EgyptWDLWD
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
South AfricaWWDDL
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EgyptSouth Africa
50.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence91.7
58.3Form50.0
58.9Power56.2
1.26xG0.91