Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egypt · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Egypt 1-0 Angola, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Egypt 0-0 Angola
Original prediction
Egypt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 68.3% | 52.8% | -15.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.6% | 26.4% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 9.12 | 10.0% | 20.8% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.5 pts
Projected Score
Egypt 1–0 Angola
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Egypt
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Egypt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EgyptLWDWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AngolaWDWLD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EgyptAngola
58.3Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
75.0Form41.7
71.1Power50.3
1.39xG0.76