Egypt U20vs
Tunisia U20
COMPLETEDWorld · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 9/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egypt U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Egypt U20 1-0 Tunisia U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Egypt U20 2-1 Tunisia U20
Original prediction
Egypt U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.2% | 43.4% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 29.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.46 | 26.2% | 27.0% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Egypt U20 1–0 Tunisia U20
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Egypt U20
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Egypt U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Egypt U20WWWDD
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Tunisia U20DDDWW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Egypt U20Tunisia U20
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
88.7Power45.3
1.28xG0.76