GGOALVIO

World · Africa Cup of Nations U20 · 10/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Egypt U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Egypt U20 1-0 Morocco U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Egypt U20 0-2 Morocco U20

Original prediction

Egypt U20

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4237.5%40.7%3.2 pts
Draw3.1029.3%29.9%0.6 pts
Away2.7433.2%29.3%-3.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.2 pts

Projected Score

Egypt U20 1–0 Morocco U20

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Egypt U20

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Egypt U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Egypt U20WWWWD

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Morocco U20WDWDW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Egypt U20Morocco U20
66.7Attack50.0
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
88.7Power50.0
1.29xG0.78
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