Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
EGS Gafsa are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while ES Sahel are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and ES Sahel hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Ligue 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00