Egnatia Rrogozhinëvs
Skenderbeu Korce
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 9/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Skenderbeu Korce
Original prediction
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.1% | 48.6% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 27.4% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.68 | 15.9% | 24.0% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40