UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Home
WD
61
Full time
Petrocub

Petrocub

Away
LD
Arena Egnatia
GoalVio prediction
78% confidence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë(78%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Win probability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
78%
Draw
17%
Petrocub
6%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
97
Petrocub
34
Defence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
66
Petrocub
3
Momentum
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
67
Petrocub
17
Danger (xG)
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3.15
Petrocub
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
3.15
avg per match
xG for (Petrocub)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Petrocub)
3.15
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
WDL
PetrocubPetrocub
LDDL

Probability breakdown

78% confidence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë78%
Draw17%
Petrocub6%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë leads with 78% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Egnatia Rrogozhinë head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Arena Egnatia in mixed form (WD), while Petrocub arrive in mixed form (LD). Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Petrocub over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Egnatia Rrogozhinë's elite attack (97/100) faces a vulnerable Petrocub defence (3/100), while Petrocub's attack is up against a solid Egnatia Rrogozhinë backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's favour.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 6.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Petrocub have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win with 78% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 7755%, Draw 1694%, Petrocub 551%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1Draws 10 Petrocub
Avg goals: 4.5BTTS in 2/2
15 Jul 2026
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
W61
Petrocub
8 Jul 2026
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
D11
Petrocub

Recent form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

W
vs Petrocub
15 Jul 2026
61
D
@ Petrocub
8 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Dinamo Tirana
13 May 2026
23
Petrocub

Petrocub

L
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
15 Jul 2026
16
D
@ CSF Bălți
11 Jul 2026
11
D
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
8 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
13 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Petrocub?

GoalVio's model predicts Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win with 78% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Petrocub?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Petrocub?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Petrocub?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more