Egnatia Rrogozhinëvs
Partizani
COMPLETEDAlbania · Superliga · 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2-1 Partizani
Original prediction
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.5% | 45.7% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 27.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 5.94 | 15.2% | 27.3% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60