GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Egnatia Rrogozhinë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lillestrom are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

11.8%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Egnatia RrogozhinëWLDDW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LillestromLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Egnatia RrogozhinëLillestrom
100.0Attack50.0
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
57.3Power50.0
1.74xG1.37
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