Egnatia Rrogozhinëvs
FC Midtjylland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 10/15/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Midtjylland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1-1 FC Midtjylland
Original prediction
FC Midtjylland
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.00 | 15.7% | 25.8% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 22.3% | 27.0% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 62.0% | 47.3% | -14.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
FC Midtjylland
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
FC Midtjylland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00