GGOALVIO

Albania · Superliga · 9/13/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Egnatia Rrogozhinë · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Erzeni Shijak are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.1% in the Superliga, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Probability

63.1%

Model confidence

63.1%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Egnatia RrogozhinëWLLDD

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Erzeni ShijakDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Egnatia RrogozhinëErzeni Shijak
45.6Attack26.9
66.7Defence47.2
58.8Form29.6
58.3Power37.4
1.65xG0.46
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