UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 14:58
Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Home
WD
33
Full time
Celje

Celje

Away
D
Arena Egnatia
GoalVio prediction
48% confidence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë(48%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
48%
Draw
21%
Celje
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
97
Celje
73
Defence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
66
Celje
27
Momentum
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
67
Celje
33
Danger (xG)
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3.15
Celje
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
3.15
avg per match
xG for (Celje)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Egnatia Rrogozhinë)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Celje)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë
WDL
CeljeCelje
DL

Probability breakdown

48% confidence
Egnatia Rrogozhinë48%
Draw21%
Celje31%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë leads with 48% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Egnatia Rrogozhinë head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Arena Egnatia in mixed form (WD), while Celje arrive in mixed form (D). Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Celje over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Egnatia Rrogozhinë (97/100) and Celje (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 6.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Celje have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Celje in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win with 48% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 4843%, Draw 2057%, Celje 3099%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

W
vs Petrocub
15 Jul 2026
61
D
@ Petrocub
8 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Dinamo Tirana
13 May 2026
23
Celje

Celje

D
vs Mura
17 Jul 2026
22
L
vs Koper
16 May 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?

GoalVio's model predicts Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win with 48% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Celje?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more