Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Egersund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Vidar are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
8.5%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60