Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Egersund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ranheim are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the 1. Division, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00