Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Egersund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Lyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the 1. Division, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20