Egersundvs
Kongsvinger
COMPLETEDNorway · 1. Division · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kongsvinger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egersund 1-1 Kongsvinger
Original prediction
Kongsvinger
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.9% | 26.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.5% | 22.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 50.5% | 51.3% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–38%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Kongsvinger
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Kongsvinger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 19 · GA 8 · avg 3.80/1.60