Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egersund 3-1 hodd
Original prediction
Egersund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.6% | 42.4% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.6% | 23.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.8% | 34.4% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EgersundLLWDD
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
hoddLLWLD
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Egersundhodd
50.0Attack55.6
31.9Defence33.3
40.3Form47.2
41.6Power47.3
2.14xG2.14