Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egersund 1-0 Bryne
Original prediction
Egersund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.8% | 41.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.2% | 24.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.9% | 34.3% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EgersundDDDWL
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BryneDLDLW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
EgersundBryne
100.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
85.5Power95.8
2.39xG2.27