Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Egersund are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bryne are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.3% in the 1. Division, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
10.3%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80