Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Egersund 2-2 Asane
Original prediction
Egersund
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 63.1% | 60.9% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 20.0% | 17.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.42 | 16.9% | 21.4% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EgersundLLWWD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AsaneLWLLD
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
EgersundAsane
54.4Attack49.1
38.6Defence26.3
45.6Form29.8
46.6Power36.7
2.71xG1.63