Eemdijkvs
Sportlust '46
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Derde Divisie · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sportlust '46 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eemdijk 3-1 Sportlust '46
Original prediction
Sportlust '46
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.33 | 17.0% | 28.5% | 11.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.19 | 17.5% | 24.5% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 1.38 | 65.5% | 47.0% | -18.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-18.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Sportlust '46
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Sportlust '46 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40