Edinburgh Cityvs
Stirling Albion
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Edinburgh City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Edinburgh City 7-3 Stirling Albion
Original prediction
Edinburgh City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.5% | 47.3% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.9% | 26.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.6% | 25.9% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Edinburgh City
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Edinburgh City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20