Edinburgh Cityvs
Spartans
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Edinburgh City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Edinburgh City 1-3 Spartans
Original prediction
Edinburgh City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.1% | 39.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.0% | 27.0% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.9% | 33.2% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–27%
Predicted outcome
Edinburgh City
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Edinburgh City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20