GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Queen of the South · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Edinburgh City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Queen of the South are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edinburgh City hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the League One, while Queen of the South holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Queen of the South

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

47.3%

Queen of the South has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edinburgh CityLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Queen of the SouthLWDWD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Edinburgh CityQueen of the South
35.2Attack16.7
9.3Defence0.0
13.0Form0.0
23.1Power11.2
1.27xG1.84
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