Edinburgh Cityvs
Kelty Hearts
COMPLETEDScotland · FA Cup · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Edinburgh City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Edinburgh City 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Original prediction
Edinburgh City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.5% | 39.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.6% | 26.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.9% | 34.2% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Edinburgh City
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Edinburgh City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20