GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hamilton Academical · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Edinburgh City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hamilton Academical are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamilton Academical hold a 72.9-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 96.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the League One, while Hamilton Academical holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hamilton Academical

Probability

73.6%

Model confidence

73.6%

Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edinburgh CityLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hamilton AcademicalWWDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Edinburgh CityHamilton Academical
35.2Attack100.0
9.3Defence100.0
13.0Form100.0
23.1Power96.0
0.85xG2.77
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