Edinburgh Cityvs
Forfar Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Edinburgh City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Edinburgh City 1-1 Forfar Athletic
Original prediction
Edinburgh City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.2% | 40.6% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.8% | 26.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 21.1% | 32.8% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Edinburgh City
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Edinburgh City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40