League CupLeague Cup
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 14:56
Edinburgh City

Edinburgh City

Home
WL
20
Full time
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

Away
L
Meadowbank Sports Centre
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Alloa Athletic(39%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction missed— Result: Edinburgh City
Win probability
Edinburgh City
26%
Draw
35%
Alloa Athletic
39%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Edinburgh City
34
Alloa Athletic
9
Defence
Edinburgh City
14
Alloa Athletic
27
Momentum
Edinburgh City
50
Alloa Athletic
0
Danger (xG)
Edinburgh City
0.90
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Edinburgh City)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Alloa Athletic)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Edinburgh City)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Alloa Athletic)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City
WLW
Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
LWWL

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Edinburgh City26%
Draw35%
Alloa Athletic39%

Alloa Athletic leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Edinburgh City head into this in League Cup fixture at Meadowbank Sports Centre in mixed form (WL), while Alloa Athletic arrive in mixed form (L). Edinburgh City have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Alloa Athletic over 1 games.

The model rates Edinburgh City's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Alloa Athletic defence, and Alloa Athletic's attack at 9/100 against a 14/100 Edinburgh City backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Edinburgh City have won 2 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game at home. Alloa Athletic have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Edinburgh City have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Alloa Athletic to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Edinburgh City 2571%, Draw 3500%, Alloa Athletic 3929%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Edinburgh City 1Draws 00 Alloa Athletic
Avg goals: 2.0
14 Jul 2026
Edinburgh City
W20
Alloa Athletic

Recent form

Edinburgh City

Edinburgh City

W
vs Alloa Athletic
14 Jul 2026
20
L
vs Falkirk
11 Jul 2026
05
W
vs Brora Rangers
16 May 2026
20
Alloa Athletic

Alloa Athletic

L
@ Edinburgh City
14 Jul 2026
02
W
vs Civil Service Strollers
23 Jun 2026
50
W
@ Stenhousemuir
16 May 2026
10
L
vs Stenhousemuir
13 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

GoalVio's model predicts Alloa Athletic to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Edinburgh City vs Alloa Athletic?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more