GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/23/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Valentine are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.3% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

73.3%

Model confidence

73.3%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesLLWWD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValentineLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesValentine
63.5Attack34.9
54.0Defence38.1
61.9Form39.7
62.1Power40.1
2.76xG0.85
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