GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/2/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while New Lambton are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

85.6%

Model confidence

85.6%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesWDLLD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
New LambtonDLLLL

GF 1 · GA 17 · avg 0.20/3.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesNew Lambton
63.5Attack37.9
54.0Defence7.6
61.9Form18.2
62.1Power23.6
4.10xG0.88
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