GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 7/24/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while New Lambton are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 23.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.6% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

85.6%

Model confidence

85.6%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesDWWWL

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
New LambtonLWLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Edgeworth EaglesNew Lambton
63.5Attack37.9
54.0Defence7.6
61.9Form18.2
62.1Power23.6
4.10xG0.88
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