GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 4/23/2023, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Edgeworth Eagles · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Edgeworth Eagles are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Maitland are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Edgeworth Eagles hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Edgeworth Eagles holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Edgeworth Eagles

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

Edgeworth Eagles has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Edgeworth EaglesWWLLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MaitlandDLLLW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Edgeworth EaglesMaitland
63.5Attack60.3
54.0Defence50.8
61.9Form61.9
62.1Power60.0
2.07xG1.55
View match centre →